Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 58.962313 67.148749 75.551338 84.786184 94.617576 104.740575 115.921177
2025-11-30 47.516297 59.322564 72.016724 86.538750 102.559995 119.576859 138.902774
2025-12-07 40.666950 54.475936 69.842971 87.921447 108.343673 130.467055 156.024142
2025-12-14 34.134319 49.077820 66.274755 87.038882 110.995967 137.395224 168.332447
2025-12-21 28.407749 43.929817 62.401354 85.264161 112.160195 142.253016 177.962772
2025-12-28 26.210837 42.817864 63.072369 88.583867 118.997514 153.374450 194.504439
2026-01-04 23.635471 40.933936 62.578451 90.324223 123.836100 162.088805 208.214587
2026-01-11 20.431561 37.898223 60.402350 89.815040 125.842599 167.395386 217.909126
2026-01-18 17.664831 35.174166 58.406414 89.345540 127.747459 172.465263 227.230615
2026-01-25 15.609130 33.243907 57.285926 89.842070 130.718033 178.708010 237.849027
2026-02-01 13.380851 30.822382 55.341969 89.154588 132.131224 183.022523 246.146448
2026-02-08 11.617807 28.917277 53.962485 89.084673 134.221365 188.079315 255.263659
2026-02-15 9.733357 26.619080 51.923502 88.088252 135.134172 191.736675 262.776970
2026-02-22 8.684554 25.598737 51.627412 89.353614 138.866308 198.790402 274.325516
2026-03-01 7.809428 24.773715 51.547075 90.858986 142.867828 206.148052 286.221215
2026-03-08 6.454073 22.871879 49.751128 89.942051 143.702289 209.586375 293.387167
2026-03-15 5.088152 20.699180 47.393758 88.137768 143.304450 211.444101 298.598446
2026-03-22 4.893052 20.922415 48.750047 91.518153 149.658602 221.655659 313.910762
2026-03-29 4.414626 20.458700 48.982736 93.290350 153.893421 229.231653 326.031767
2026-04-05 3.596949 19.069497 47.645863 92.771891 155.071717 232.973024 333.475818
2026-04-12 2.892485 17.778167 46.380423 92.293842 156.259005 236.694396 340.872530
2026-04-19 2.412179 16.942021 45.818615 92.799416 158.731798 242.013659 350.212224
2026-04-26 1.851317 15.698570 44.475369 92.099405 159.546277 245.213869 356.934088